Global Market Cues

Global markets presented a mixed picture overnight, with significant movements impacting investor sentiment. In the US, major stock indexes closed lower on Monday, December 15, 2025. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.2%, and the S&P 500 slipped 0.2%. This decline was largely attributed to "AI bubble fears" and continued pressure on AI-related stocks, with Oracle and Broadcom extending their losses. However, Nvidia saw a slight rebound, gaining 0.7%. Investors are keenly awaiting key economic data releases this week, including the November employment data, October retail sales, and September business inventories. The Federal Reserve had implemented its third 25 basis-point rate cut of 2025 last week, signaling a less hawkish stance on future reductions, which has been a supportive factor for gold prices.

European markets, in contrast, closed higher on Monday. The DAX Index rose by 0.18%, the FTSE 100 gained 1.06%, and the Paris CAC 40 increased by 0.70%. The Euro Area's main stock market index, the EU50, also saw a 0.27% rise. London mining stocks notably benefited from higher precious metals prices.

However, early Tuesday trading in Asian markets reflected a cautious sentiment, largely extending losses from Wall Street's AI sell-off. Equity-index futures for Japan, Australia, and China all slipped. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1.40% to 49465 points, South Korea's KOSPI plummeted by 1.62%, and major Chinese indices (Shanghai SSEC, Shenzhen SZI, Hong Kong HSI) also registered declines ranging from 0.93% to 1.30%.

In the commodity markets, crude oil prices continued their downward trend. Brent crude fell to $60.38 USD/Bbl and WTI crude to $56.47 USD/Bbl on December 16, 2025, both down from the previous day. This decline is primarily driven by concerns about global oversupply, progress in potential Ukraine peace talks, and weaker economic data from China, outweighing tensions in Venezuela. Conversely, gold prices edged higher to $4306.84 USD/t.oz, nearing an all-time high, supported by expectations of further US interest rate cuts.

GIFT Nifty and Domestic Cues

The GIFT Nifty futures are signaling a weak start for the Indian benchmark indices today. As of early Tuesday morning, GIFT Nifty was trading at 26,085.00, down 0.02% or 5.50 points. Earlier, it indicated a lower start by falling 0.23% to 26,030 as of 7:18 a.m. IST. This suggests that the Nifty 50 is likely to open with a negative bias.

On Monday, December 15, Indian equity markets closed marginally lower, snapping a two-day winning streak. Analysts anticipate a period of consolidation with increased volatility as the year-end approaches, driven by thin trading volumes and an uncertain global macroeconomic environment. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) were net buyers in the Indian market on Thursday, December 11, 2025.

Key Stocks in Focus

Given the mixed global cues and the cautious outlook, several factors could influence individual stock performance:

• IT Sector: Following the weakness in US tech stocks and concerns over AI valuations, Indian IT companies might face selling pressure.
• Oil & Gas: Declining crude oil prices could be beneficial for oil marketing companies but might negatively impact upstream exploration and production companies.
• Gold-related stocks: With gold prices rising globally, companies in the gold mining or jewelry sector could see positive interest.
• Banking & Financials: Analysts suggest Nifty support levels at 25,900–25,850, indicating that banking and financial stocks, which form a significant part of the index, will be crucial.

Key Events to Watch Today

Investors will be closely monitoring several economic data releases today:

• United States: The much-anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, Retail Sales data, and Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures are scheduled for release. These will provide further clarity on the US economic health and potentially influence the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions.
• India: Flash HSBC Composite, Manufacturing, and Services PMI data for December are expected. These indicators will offer insights into the health of India's manufacturing and services sectors.
• United Kingdom: Unemployment Rate, Average Earnings, and Employment Change data will be released.

TAGS: Pre-Market, Stock Market, Nifty, Sensex, Market Update

Tags: Pre-Market Stock Market Nifty Sensex Market Update

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