True Green - True Green
Financial Performance
Revenue Growth by Segment
Total Operating Income was INR 101.83 Cr in FY23, a 65.6% decrease from INR 296.16 Cr in FY22. Revenue from discontinued polyester operations was pursued via job work contracts from July 2023 as the company pivots to ethanol production.
Geographic Revenue Split
Not disclosed in available documents, though manufacturing facilities are located in Moraiya, Sanand, Ahmedabad, Gujarat.
Profitability Margins
Net Profit Ratio improved to 0.15% in FY24 from -0.06% in FY23. FY23 PAT margin was -5.62% compared to 2.62% in FY22. Return on Equity improved by 114.10% YoY to 0.01% in FY24 due to decreased losses.
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA margin was -3.41% (-INR 3.47 Cr) in FY23, down from 4.67% (INR 13.84 Cr) in FY22. Return on Capital Employed improved by 181.91% to 0.04% in FY24.
Capital Expenditure
Total planned project cost for the grain-based ethanol plant is INR 323.09 Cr. As of mid-March 2024, the company has incurred INR 32.87 Cr, financed by INR 17.47 Cr in unsecured loans and INR 15.40 Cr from machinery sales.
Credit Rating & Borrowing
Assigned IVR BBB-/ Stable rating for a proposed long-term bank facility of INR 256.00 Cr on March 30, 2024. Borrowings as of March 31, 2024, totaled INR 17.58 Cr, primarily carrying fixed interest rates.
Operational Drivers
Raw Materials
Broken rice, maize, sugarcane, and corn are the primary raw materials for the new 300 KLPD ethanol plant.
Import Sources
Sourced locally from Gujarat, specifically from regional rice mills and FCI (Food Corporation of India) godowns near the Sanand facility.
Key Suppliers
FCI (Food Corporation of India) and local rice mills in the Gujarat region.
Capacity Expansion
Setting up a 300 KLPD (Kilo Litres Per Day) grain-based ethanol plant and a 6.42 MW captive power generation plant at Moraiya, Sanand, with commercial operations expected to commence on April 1, 2025.
Raw Material Costs
Not disclosed as a percentage of revenue for the new project; however, margins are noted as susceptible to volatile agro-climatic risks affecting grain prices.
Manufacturing Efficiency
Not applicable as the plant is under construction; however, the captive power plant is designed to optimize energy efficiency.
Logistics & Distribution
Not disclosed as a percentage of revenue; proximity to road and rail networks in Sanand is cited as a competitive edge for dispatching product to OMCs.
Strategic Growth
Expected Growth Rate
9.3%
Growth Strategy
The company is pivoting from polyester yarn to grain-based ethanol production to capitalize on the Government of India's Ethanol Blending Program (EBP), which mandates 20% blending by 2025. Growth will be driven by the new 300 KLPD plant and long-term offtake agreements with Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs).
Products & Services
Ethyl alcohol (Ethanol) for fuel blending and Dried Distillersβ Grains with Soluble (DDGS) as a high-protein animal feed by-product.
New Products/Services
Ethanol and DDGS from the new Sanand facility are expected to be the primary revenue contributors starting FY26.
Market Expansion
Targeting the domestic biofuel market under the EBP scheme, focusing on supply to OMCs in the Gujarat region.
Strategic Alliances
Offtake agreements with Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) for ethanol supply.
External Factors
Industry Trends
The ethanol industry is growing at a 9.3% CAGR (2016-22) driven by the EBP mandate to reach 20% blending by 2025. The company is positioning itself as a green energy provider to align with these regulatory shifts.
Competitive Landscape
The industry is characterized by high government regulation and a shift from sugar-based to grain-based distilleries to meet rising demand.
Competitive Moat
Durable advantages include locational proximity to FCI godowns and rice mills in Gujarat and a 6.42 MW captive power plant which reduces external utility dependency.
Macro Economic Sensitivity
Highly sensitive to agricultural output (inflation in grain prices) and government fiscal policies regarding biofuel mandates.
Consumer Behavior
Increasing national demand for fuel blending and industrial ethanol usage.
Geopolitical Risks
Minimal direct impact as the government currently prohibits the import of ethanol for fuel blending, protecting domestic producers.
Regulatory & Governance
Industry Regulations
Operations are governed by the Ethanol Blending Program (EBP) scheme and statutory approvals required for grain-based distilleries.
Environmental Compliance
The project is part of the green energy Ethanol Blending Program; specific ESG compliance costs were not disclosed.
Taxation Policy Impact
The company is subject to standard corporate tax; however, an Income Tax Department survey was conducted in July 2022 with assessments still pending.
Legal Contingencies
Pending Income Tax assessment following a survey from July 20, 2022, to July 22, 2022. Management expects no material additional liability.
Risk Analysis
Key Uncertainties
Project execution risk related to the April 1, 2025, COD and the risk of cost/time overruns on the INR 323.09 Cr project.
Geographic Concentration Risk
100% of manufacturing and project assets are concentrated in Sanand, Gujarat.
Third Party Dependencies
Critical dependency on OMCs for product offtake and regional rice mills for raw material supply.
Technology Obsolescence Risk
Low risk; the grain-based distillation process is a standard industrial technology.
Credit & Counterparty Risk
Low risk for receivables as the primary customers are state-owned OMCs.