HAPPYFORGE - Happy Forgings
Financial Performance
Revenue Growth by Segment
Domestic business (82% of total) grew 6.2% YoY in FY25. CV and Tractor segments contribute ~70% of total revenue. Q2 FY26 revenue of INR 377 Cr grew 4.5% YoY, while H1 FY26 revenue of INR 731 Cr grew 4.1% YoY.
Geographic Revenue Split
Domestic market accounts for 82% of total revenues (INR 1,155 Cr), while Exports account for the remaining 18% (INR 254 Cr) as of FY25.
Profitability Margins
Gross Margin improved from 56.1% in FY24 to 58.0% in FY25, reaching a record 60% in Q2 FY26. PAT Margin rose from 17.9% in FY24 to 19.0% in FY25 (INR 267.44 Cr).
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA Margin was 28.9% in FY25 (INR 406.70 Cr), up from 28.5% YoY. Q2 FY26 EBITDA margin expanded to 30.7% (INR 116 Cr), a YoY increase of 10%.
Capital Expenditure
Planned total capex of INR 850-1,000 Cr over FY26-FY28. Currently executing a strategic capex program of INR 650 Cr for heavy segment forging infrastructure. INR 129 Cr of unutilized IPO proceeds remained as of March 2025.
Credit Rating & Borrowing
Ratings reaffirmed at [ICRA]AA(Stable)/[ICRA]A1+. Finance costs decreased 36% YoY to INR 7.53 Cr in FY25. Gearing remains low at 0.1x.
Operational Drivers
Raw Materials
Steel is the primary raw material. Softening steel prices impacted topline growth but supported margin expansion as realizations were maintained.
Capacity Expansion
Strategic capex of INR 650 Cr is creating state-of-the-art forging infrastructure for heavy segment and precision components. Total capacity expansion outlay is INR 850-1,000 Cr through FY28.
Raw Material Costs
Raw material costs are a major component of the 42% direct cost base (implied by 58% gross margin). Realizations improved to INR 248/kg in FY25 and INR 251/kg in Q2 FY26 despite falling input costs.
Manufacturing Efficiency
Value-added machining share reached 88% of the product mix. Q2 FY26 saw operational volume growth of 5.2%.
Strategic Growth
Expected Growth Rate
Not disclosed in available documents
Growth Strategy
Achieving growth through a INR 650 Cr capex program for heavy segment forging, diversifying into non-automotive industrial applications (power generation), and securing orders from new European OEMs. The company is also expanding its presence in the passenger vehicle segment.
Products & Services
Forged and machined components, heavy forged components, and precision engineering products for commercial vehicles, tractors, and industrial gensets.
Brand Portfolio
Happy Forgings
New Products/Services
Foray into industrial segments (power generation applications) and passenger vehicles to diversify the business profile.
Market Expansion
Expanding geographic footprint and export business to insulate against domestic cyclicality. Securing a solid roster of orders from new larger European OEMs.
Strategic Alliances
Expanding partnerships with leading domestic OEMs and building new relationships with European OEMs.
External Factors
Industry Trends
Growing demand for backup power solutions in data centers, healthcare, and 5G infrastructure is driving the industrial vertical. The industry is shifting toward higher value-add machined components (88% of company mix).
Competitive Moat
Durable advantage through a high 88% value-added machining mix, 45+ years of engineering expertise, and a conservative capital structure (0.1x debt/equity) that allows for massive self-funded capex.
Macro Economic Sensitivity
Topline growth is sensitive to steel price fluctuations and macroeconomic health of user industries like agriculture and infrastructure.
Consumer Behavior
Increased demand for high-capacity gensets (>300 kW) due to 5G and edge computing infrastructure needs.
Geopolitical Risks
Global demand environment and macroeconomic headwinds weighed on user industries in FY25.
Regulatory & Governance
Industry Regulations
Operations are subject to environmental regulations and stringent quality benchmarks for automotive and industrial components.
Environmental Compliance
ESG risks identified include non-compliance with environmental regulations and emissions reduction progress; costs are not quantified.
Taxation Policy Impact
Effective tax rate was approximately 25.6% in FY25 (INR 92.11 Cr total tax on INR 359.55 Cr PBT).
Risk Analysis
Key Uncertainties
Cyclicality of the CV and Tractor segments (70% revenue) and potential margin compression from rising input costs.
Geographic Concentration Risk
82% of revenue is concentrated in the domestic Indian market.
Third Party Dependencies
High dependency on key customers and specific product segments for order volumes and contract renewals.
Technology Obsolescence Risk
Mitigated by investing in sophisticated, future-facing forging infrastructure and advanced genset technology (remote monitoring).
Credit & Counterparty Risk
Prudent debtor management maintained; trade receivables turnover at 3.6x.