ADANIGREEN - Adani Green
Financial Performance
Revenue Growth by Segment
Total revenue grew 18.07% YoY to INR 12,422 Cr in FY25. Revenue from Power Supply specifically grew 23% YoY to INR 9,495 Cr, driven by a capacity addition of 3,309 MW.
Geographic Revenue Split
Not explicitly disclosed by region, but operations are centered in India with a focus on resource-rich sites like Khavda, Gujarat, where the company holds ~2,50,000 acres of land.
Profitability Margins
Profit After Tax (PAT) margin improved from 15.9% in FY24 to 17.8% in FY25. Cash Profit grew 22% YoY to INR 4,871 Cr.
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA margin from Power Supply remained industry-leading at 91.7% in FY25, compared to 91.8% in FY24. Run-rate EBITDA reached INR 12,676 Cr.
Capital Expenditure
Historical capex for FY25 was INR 28,366 Cr. H1 FY26 capex incurred was INR 12,412 Cr to support the 50 GW target by 2030.
Credit Rating & Borrowing
Consolidated net debt to EBITDA ratio stood at 6.4x in March 2025 (up from 5.7x in FY24). Net leverage is expected to remain below 6x over the medium term. Interest coverage ratio improved to 1.84x in FY25 from 1.69x in FY24.
Operational Drivers
Raw Materials
Solar trackers, wind turbines, and solar modules. Trackers are a critical component, with a major procurement agreement proposed with JEPL for FY2026-27.
Import Sources
Not specifically disclosed, but procurement involves related party JEPL (Adani Infra India holds 26%) for trackers.
Key Suppliers
JEPL (Jodhpur Expressway Private Limited) for trackers; Adani Infra (India) Limited for project support.
Capacity Expansion
Current operational capacity is ~15 GW as of March 2025. The company is expanding to 50 GW by 2030, representing a 28% CAGR.
Raw Material Costs
Procurement of trackers for FY27 is valued at 55.74% of the previous year's consolidated turnover (approx. INR 6,924 Cr based on FY25 revenue).
Manufacturing Efficiency
Solar Capacity Utilization Factor (CUF) maintained at 25%; Wind and Hybrid CUF showed improvement in FY25.
Logistics & Distribution
Not disclosed as a specific % of revenue.
Strategic Growth
Expected Growth Rate
28%
Growth Strategy
Achieving 50 GW by 2030 through the development of 4-5 GW of capacity annually. Strategy includes securing 2,50,000 acres of resource-rich land, developing 5+ GW of Pumped Storage Projects (PSP), and utilizing a 'Resource as Value' approach to maximize returns from merchant capacity (35% of wind is merchant).
Products & Services
Renewable energy electricity (Solar, Wind, and Solar-Wind Hybrid power), and Pumped Storage Projects (PSP) for grid stability.
Brand Portfolio
Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL).
New Products/Services
Pumped Storage Projects (PSP) with 5+ GW sites secured; expected to provide high-return grid balancing services.
Market Expansion
Focus on the Khavda region for massive scale deployment and national footprint expansion across India.
Market Share & Ranking
One of India's largest renewable energy companies; operational capacity of 15 GW.
Strategic Alliances
Joint Ventures with TotalEnergies; procurement alliances with JEPL for trackers.
External Factors
Industry Trends
The industry is shifting toward 24/7 renewable power via Hybrid and PSP solutions. AGEL is positioned as a leader in this transition with a 50 GW target by 2030.
Competitive Landscape
Competes with other large renewable IPPs and state-owned power generators; maintains edge through Adani Group's integrated infrastructure platform.
Competitive Moat
Durable advantages include 100% 'Must Run' status, 25-year long-term contracts, and massive land bank (2.5 lakh acres) which are difficult for competitors to replicate at current costs.
Macro Economic Sensitivity
Highly sensitive to interest rate fluctuations due to high leverage (Net Debt of INR 76,071 Cr in H1 FY26).
Consumer Behavior
Increasing demand for green energy from C&I customers and government mandates for decarbonization.
Geopolitical Risks
US DOJ related outcomes regarding promoters could affect global investor sentiment and capital access.
Regulatory & Governance
Industry Regulations
Compliance with Electricity Act 2003 (Must Run status) and SEBI Listing Regulations for Material Related Party Transactions (RPTs).
Environmental Compliance
ESG oversight provided by a specialized Board sub-committee; ESG rating disclosure is a regulatory requirement.
Taxation Policy Impact
Effective tax management is a focus; Dinesh Kanabar (Independent Director) is a top tax advisor. Current PAT margin is 17.8%.
Legal Contingencies
Potential adverse outcomes in US DOJ investigations related to promoters are noted as a material risk to fund-raising capabilities.
Risk Analysis
Key Uncertainties
Implementation risk in the large under-construction portfolio (INR 14,029 Cr) and susceptibility to weather-related generation variability.
Geographic Concentration Risk
High concentration in India, specifically in Gujarat (Khavda) and Rajasthan for solar/wind resources.
Third Party Dependencies
Significant dependency on JEPL for tracker procurement (FY27 transaction value is 55.74% of turnover).
Technology Obsolescence Risk
Risk of evolving solar cell/module efficiency; mitigated by continuous 4-5 GW annual construction cycle using latest tech.
Credit & Counterparty Risk
Exposure to state discoms; however, 47-day debtor cycle indicates healthy receivable quality.