Paul Merchants - Paul Merchants
Financial Performance
Revenue Growth by Segment
Total revenue from operations declined 48.8% YoY to INR 3,328.58 Cr in FY25. Segment performance: Travel Division (Hotel/Packages) grew 45.93% to INR 4.90 Cr; Air Ticketing grew 6.68% to INR 1.61 Cr; Domestic Money Transfer grew 0.93% to INR 0.097 Cr; MoneyGram (International) declined 6.10% to INR 0.26 Cr. The primary Forex segment saw a massive decline due to lower migration volumes.
Geographic Revenue Split
Canada is identified as the key market for the company's forex and remittance business. Other significant regions include Europe and the USA, which have seen reduced student and worker migration impacting revenue by approximately 48.8%.
Profitability Margins
Net Profit Margin declined from 0.40% in FY24 to 0.18% in FY25, a 55.87% drop. Operating Profit Margin turned negative at -0.28% in FY25 compared to 0.11% in FY24, a 354.55% decline, primarily due to the trading nature of the forex business and high fixed costs against lower volumes.
EBITDA Margin
Operating EBITDA (excluding other income) fell to a loss of INR 4.735 Cr in FY25 from a profit of INR 11.38 Cr in FY24, representing a 141.6% year-on-year decline in core operational profitability.
Capital Expenditure
No major capital expenditure is planned for the short-to-medium term. The company maintains a tangible net worth of INR 481.95 Cr as of March 31, 2025, to support its liquidity needs.
Credit Rating & Borrowing
Long-term rating downgraded to IVR BBB/Negative in August 2025 from IVR BBB+/Negative in June 2025. Short-term rating reaffirmed at IVR A3+. Interest coverage ratio declined 66.81% YoY to 8.83x in FY25.
Operational Drivers
Raw Materials
Forex inventory and travel stock (97.6% of total revenue), employee benefits (0.73% of revenue), and other operating expenses (1.8% of revenue).
Import Sources
Not applicable as a service/trading entity; however, forex inventory is sourced globally based on migration corridors to Canada, USA, and Europe.
Key Suppliers
EBIX Money Express (P) Ltd (Principal for inbound money transfer), MoneyGram (International remittance partner), and various airlines/hotels for the travel division.
Capacity Expansion
Current operations span 351 employees across a nationwide branch network. Expansion is focused on diversifying revenue streams into new business areas to offset the 48.8% decline in traditional forex income.
Raw Material Costs
Purchase of stock-in-trade (forex/travel inventory) was INR 3,249.55 Cr in FY25, representing 97.6% of total revenue. Purchases reduced significantly YoY in line with the 48.8% revenue drop.
Manufacturing Efficiency
Not applicable; service efficiency is measured by Debtors Turnover which slowed from 5.43 to 4.82 (11.33% decline) and Inventory Turnover which dropped from 82.92 to 50.2 (39.46% decline).
Logistics & Distribution
Distribution costs are reflected in 'Other Expenses' of INR 59.81 Cr, which decreased from INR 112.04 Cr in FY24 due to lower business activity.
Strategic Growth
Expected Growth Rate
Not disclosed
Growth Strategy
Diversification into new business areas to reduce dependency on Canada-centric forex revenue; leveraging the 45.93% growth in the travel division (hotel/packages); and anticipating policy shifts following the April 2025 Canadian elections to restore migration-linked forex demand.
Products & Services
Foreign exchange, international and domestic money transfers, air ticketing, hotel bookings, holiday packages, and prepaid forex cards.
Brand Portfolio
Paul Merchants, PAUL Group.
New Products/Services
New business ventures in allied financial services; current contribution is not yet meaningful but intended to boost future revenue.
Market Expansion
Focusing on Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities for travel services while monitoring international migration policy changes in Europe and the USA for forex expansion.
Market Share & Ranking
Flagship company of the Paul Group; holds Authorized Dealer Category II license from RBI and is an IATA accredited travel agency.
Strategic Alliances
Sub-agent agreement with EBIX Money Express (P) Ltd and partnership with MoneyGram for international remittances.
External Factors
Industry Trends
Industry is shifting toward digital fintech platforms (Wise, Revolut) which eliminate pricing opacity. While travel demand is rebounding post-COVID (Travel segment grew 45.93%), traditional offline forex models are facing disruption.
Competitive Landscape
Faces intense competition from digital platforms (BookMyForex, Revolut) and other traditional money changers, leading to margin compression.
Competitive Moat
Moat includes a 30-year track record, RBI AD-II license, and extensive promoter experience. However, sustainability is challenged by fintech competitors and regulatory shifts in key migration destinations.
Macro Economic Sensitivity
Highly sensitive to global migration trends and geopolitical tensions; FY25 revenue fell 48.8% due to these external factors.
Consumer Behavior
Shift toward app-based solutions and instant transfers is threatening the traditional offline distribution network.
Geopolitical Risks
Ongoing tensions and policy changes in Canada, USA, and Europe regarding unemployment and migration are the primary risks to the forex income profile.
Regulatory & Governance
Industry Regulations
Strict adherence to RBI Authorized Dealer Category II guidelines, FEMA regulations, and AML/KYC norms. Subject to SEBI (Prohibition of Insider Trading) Regulations.
Environmental Compliance
Not applicable for service-based forex operations.
Taxation Policy Impact
Effective tax provision of INR 2.33 Cr in FY25 on a standalone PBT of INR 8.24 Cr.
Legal Contingencies
Not disclosed in available documents; internal controls are reviewed by independent chartered accountants and the Audit Committee.
Risk Analysis
Key Uncertainties
Uncertainty over the improvement of the operating profile in the near term due to Canadian policy changes, which could lead to further rating downgrades if profitability does not recover.
Geographic Concentration Risk
High revenue concentration in Canada; policy changes there directly caused a 48.8% drop in total revenue.
Third Party Dependencies
Dependency on EBIX Money Express for inbound transfers and international airlines for travel revenue.
Technology Obsolescence Risk
High risk from fintech disruption; company is responding with reskilling and capability enhancement but traditional margins remain under pressure.
Credit & Counterparty Risk
Debtors turnover ratio of 4.82 indicates moderate credit risk; cash and bank balances of INR 34.73 Cr provide a liquidity buffer.