INCREDIBLE - Incredible Indus
Financial Performance
Revenue Growth by Segment
Group revenue grew 17.87% YoY to INR 826.10 Cr in FY24 from INR 700.85 Cr in FY23, driven by increased sales volumes of rolled products and billets despite lower price realizations. Standalone revenue for Incredible Industries Limited (IIL) reached INR 756.14 Cr in FY25.
Geographic Revenue Split
Not disclosed in available documents, though operations are strategically located in India to serve domestic infrastructure and construction sectors.
Profitability Margins
IIL standalone Net Profit Margin improved 126.22% to 1.65% in FY25 from 0.73% in FY24. Operating Profit Margin improved 26.06% to 2.11% in FY25 from 1.67% in FY24 due to better realization and overall profitability increases.
EBITDA Margin
Group EBITDA margin declined to 4.07% in FY24 from 4.76% in FY23 as the company could not fully pass on increased raw material costs to customers. Standalone EBITDA margin for IIL was 2.37% in FY24.
Capital Expenditure
The group is undertaking a brownfield project to enhance capacity, funded by INR 105.00 Cr in additional debt and internal accruals to augment scale of operations.
Credit Rating & Borrowing
Acuite assigned a 'Stable' outlook based on a healthy financial risk profile. Interest Coverage Ratio improved 80.96% to 4.80x in FY25 from 2.65x in FY24 due to improved EBIT and debt reduction.
Operational Drivers
Raw Materials
Iron ore and coal are the primary raw materials, representing a significant but unspecified percentage of total costs; volatility in these inputs directly impacts the thin 1.42% PAT margins.
Import Sources
Sourced domestically within India, though the company faces competition from cheap imports from China, Korea, and Japan.
Key Suppliers
Procurement is partly mitigated by supplies from related companies; the group maintains high advances to suppliers of approximately INR 100 Cr to secure inventory.
Capacity Expansion
Current operations are semi-integrated from sponge iron to rolled products; a brownfield expansion is underway to increase capacity for TMT Bars and Wire Rods.
Raw Material Costs
Raw material price increases led to a margin compression from 4.76% to 4.07% in FY24. Procurement strategy involves maintaining 86 days of inventory to mitigate price volatility.
Manufacturing Efficiency
Capacity utilization has improved, driving the 17.87% revenue growth in FY24. Integrated operations allow flexibility to sell intermediate products or use them captively.
Strategic Growth
Expected Growth Rate
18%
Growth Strategy
Growth will be achieved through a brownfield capacity expansion project, backward integration to improve margins, and R&D investments to differentiate products like TMT bars from competitors.
Products & Services
TMT Bars, Wire Rods, H B Wire, Billets, and other rolled steel products.
Brand Portfolio
Incredible Industries
New Products/Services
R&D is focused on differentiating existing steel products; specific new product launch names are not disclosed.
Market Expansion
Targeting increased demand from Indian government infrastructure projects, railways, and the automobile sector.
Strategic Alliances
The company utilizes related companies for raw material supply to mitigate procurement risks.
External Factors
Industry Trends
The industry is seeing a shift toward integrated operations to control costs. Demand is expected to rise due to low per capita steel consumption in India and surging infrastructure needs.
Competitive Landscape
High competition from both large integrated players and unorganized segments, coupled with the inherent cyclicality of the steel industry.
Competitive Moat
The moat is built on a semi-integrated manufacturing process (sponge iron to rolled products) and a 30-year management track record, providing moderate cost advantages.
Macro Economic Sensitivity
Highly sensitive to Indian GDP growth and government infrastructure spending, which drives demand for TMT bars and construction steel.
Consumer Behavior
Increased demand for high-quality branded TMT bars in civil construction and engineering projects.
Geopolitical Risks
Trade barriers and the threat of cheap imports from China, Korea, and Japan are identified as major risks to domestic price stability.
Regulatory & Governance
Industry Regulations
Operations are subject to environmental legislation and mining sector regulations which have historically caused obstacles in raw material supply.
Environmental Compliance
Integrated approach to Environmental Management Systems; the company focuses on reducing emissions and preserving bio-diversity.
Taxation Policy Impact
The company follows Indian Accounting Standards (Ind-AS) as per the Companies Act 2013.
Legal Contingencies
The company identifies potential regulatory and judicial actions as a risk, though no specific pending high-value court cases are listed.
Risk Analysis
Key Uncertainties
Volatility in raw material prices (iron ore/coal) and cyclicality in end-user segments like real estate can impact margins by 20-30% during downturns.
Geographic Concentration Risk
Operations are concentrated in India, making the company 100% dependent on domestic economic cycles and infrastructure policy.
Third Party Dependencies
High dependency on raw material suppliers, mitigated by INR 100 Cr in advances and sourcing from related entities.
Technology Obsolescence Risk
Risk is moderate; mitigated by R&D investments to keep pace with manufacturing standards for TMT and wire products.
Credit & Counterparty Risk
Receivables quality is high, with debtor turnover improving and debtor days standing at a comfortable 7 days in FY23.