AGI - AGI Greenpac
Financial Performance
Revenue Growth by Segment
Revenue from operations for H1 FY26 grew 10.6% YoY to ā¹1,289 Cr compared to ā¹1,166 Cr in H1 FY25. Q2 FY26 revenue was ā¹602 Cr, a marginal 0.4% YoY increase from ā¹599 Cr, impacted by seasonal shifts and monsoon-related flooding.
Geographic Revenue Split
Domestic market accounts for 96.66% of revenue, while exports contribute 3.34% (as of FY23). The company is strategically focusing on increasing niche specialty glass exports to cover freight costs through higher realizations.
Profitability Margins
Net Profit for H1 FY26 rose 21.9% YoY to ā¹165 Cr from ā¹135 Cr. Q2 FY26 Net Profit was ā¹76 Cr, up 5.6% YoY, driven by a successful shift toward premium product segments like cosmetics and perfumery.
EBITDA Margin
Q2 FY26 EBITDA margin (excluding other income) was 24.9%, representing a 250 basis point improvement from the adjusted Q1 FY26 margin of 22.4%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiencies and a better product mix.
Capital Expenditure
The company is pursuing a debt-funded acquisition of Hindusthan National Glass (HNG) with an enterprise value of ā¹2,213 Cr. Additionally, it is investing in the Gwalior project and an Aluminum beverage CAN project to drive future volume growth.
Credit Rating & Borrowing
CARE Ratings has placed AGI on 'Rating Watch with Developing Implications' due to the pending HNG acquisition. The company completed a ā¹193 Cr term loan prepayment in July 2025 to reduce its borrowing burden.
Operational Drivers
Raw Materials
Key raw materials include soda ash, silica sand, and cullet, along with fuel sources like natural gas and furnace oil. Specific cost percentages per material are not disclosed in available documents.
Capacity Expansion
Current production capacity utilization is high at approximately 95%. Planned expansions include the Gwalior project and an Aluminum beverage CAN project, which are expected to add 25% more volume post-completion.
Raw Material Costs
Raw material and fuel costs are managed through price pass-through formulas with customers, though fluctuations are neutralized with a lag depending on competitive scenarios.
Manufacturing Efficiency
AGI operates at 90%+ manufacturing efficiency, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 85%, providing a durable competitive cost advantage.
Logistics & Distribution
Distribution costs are managed by focusing on high-realization specialty glass for exports to offset freight expenses and maintain margins.
Strategic Growth
Expected Growth Rate
8-10%
Growth Strategy
Growth will be achieved through a 25% volume increase from the Gwalior and Aluminum CAN projects, expansion into premium segments (cosmetics, perfumery), and the potential integration of HNG, which could bring consolidated operating profit to ā¹900 Cr.
Products & Services
Glass bottles (5 ml to 4,000 ml), PET bottles (10 ml to 10 liters), and security caps and closures.
Brand Portfolio
AGI (Glass Containers), GP (PET bottles and plastic products), and AGI Clozures (Security Caps and Closures).
New Products/Services
Aluminum beverage CANs and specialty glass for cosmetics/perfumery, expected to contribute to a 25% volume growth in the coming years.
Market Expansion
Expanding footprint in premium segments like cosmetics and alco-beverage; seeking to increase export market share from the current 3.34%.
Market Share & Ranking
Positioned as a leading packaging solutions provider in India with 90%+ manufacturing efficiency.
External Factors
Industry Trends
The industry is shifting toward premiumization and sustainable packaging. AGI is positioning itself with a 25% volume expansion plan and a focus on high-margin segments like perfumery.
Competitive Landscape
Competes with other glass and PET packaging players; maintains an edge through superior product mix and cost control.
Competitive Moat
Durable advantage through 90%+ operational efficiency (vs 85% industry average) and a robust capital structure that allows for large-scale acquisitions like HNG.
Macro Economic Sensitivity
Sensitive to monsoon patterns (flooding impacted Q2 FY26) and general inflation affecting raw material and fuel costs.
Consumer Behavior
Increasing demand for premium glass packaging in the alco-beverage and beauty sectors.
Geopolitical Risks
Exposed to global supply chain disruptions affecting raw material imports and fuel prices.
Regulatory & Governance
Industry Regulations
Strict compliance with regulatory requirements and ethical business practices; focus on evolving risk and regulatory landscapes.
Environmental Compliance
ESG profile supports credit risk; focus on operational safety and continuous improvement in safety standards.
Legal Contingencies
Pending litigation in the Supreme Court regarding the acquisition of Hindusthan National Glass (HNG) with an enterprise value of ā¹2,213 Cr.
Risk Analysis
Key Uncertainties
Outcome of the HNG acquisition litigation and the impact of debt-funded capex on the capital structure (Net Debt/PBILDT target < 3.3x).
Geographic Concentration Risk
96.66% of revenue is derived from the domestic Indian market.
Technology Obsolescence Risk
Mitigated by using SAP ERP for data management and continuous investment in automation and new technologies.
Credit & Counterparty Risk
Strong liquidity with free cash and equivalents of ā¹211 Cr (Dec 2024) and GCA estimated at ā¹490-ā¹510 Cr for FY25.